Penn State vs. Purdue Predictions: Big Ten Championship Game Best Bets

As the #1 seed, it’s not a surprise to see Purdue in the Big Ten Championship Game. However, it is surprising to see #10 seed Penn State as their opponent. The Nittany Lions knocked off #7 seed Illinois in the opening round, then #2 seed Northwestern and ultimately knocked off #3 seed Indiana on Saturday afternoon.

Our experts have provided their Penn State vs. Purdue predictions for today’s Big Ten Championship Game in the article below with odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

PENN STATE VS. PURDUE PREDICTION: PURDUE -6.5 (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook)

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Penn State vs. Purdue basketball predictions for today's Big Ten Championship Game

Purdue won both meetings with Penn State this season in convincing fashion, as the Boilermakers won by 13 and 20 points. The Nittany Lions struggled defensively in both meetings, surrendering 1.23 and 1.36 points per possession in those games.

Similarly, the Boilermakers cruised to today’s championship game and center Zach Edey continues to dominate. Now facing a Penn State team that not many expected to get this far, our experts think Purdue adds the Big Ten Tournament title to their already great regular season resume.

Picks, player props and best bets for Penn State vs. Purdue

Our experts are betting on Purdue against the spread in the Big Ten Championship Game. As mentioned above, Purdue won both meetings in the regular season fairly easily. Perhaps the most concerning aspect for Penn State is that they shot the ball rather well from the outside in both games and still couldn’t keep it close.

Penn State is a team that lives and dies with the three-pointer, as only nine teams take a higher percentage of their shots from beyond the arc. If Penn State had shot poorly in both losses to Purdue, that would be a reasonable explanation for the loss. However, Penn State shot 36.4 and 37.9 percent from three in those games, just barely under their season average of 38.7 percent.

On the other end of the court, Penn State has little chance of slowing down Zach Edey. Edey scored 48 points across the previous two meetings and also grabbed 13 offensive rebounds. Per Synergy, Penn State grades in just the second percentile in post-up defense, so Edey should be dominant once again.

With all that in mind, our experts’ Penn State vs. Purdue predictions have the Boilermakers -6.5 as their best bet for today’s Big Ten Championship Game.

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Penn State vs. Purdue odds, betting lines and spreads ahead of the Big Ten Championship Game

Caesars Sportsbook currently has Purdue as a -6.5 favorite in the Big Ten Championship Game against Penn State. This means the Nittany Lions are a +6.5 underdog. An $11 wager on Purdue will profit $10 if the Boilermakers win by seven points or more, while the same $11 wager on Penn State will also profit $10 if they lose by six or less or win the game outright.

If you’d prefer to bet on the total (over/under) in this game instead, Caesars sets the total at 135.5 points with -110 odds on both the over and the under. No matter which market you enjoy betting on most, make sure you do it with up to $1,250 worth of first-bet insurance by joining Caesars with promo code FANNATIONFULL.

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