#14 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas Prediction, Picks, Best Bets & Odds: Sat, 10/7
The last two undefeated giants of the Big 12 are set for a pivotal face-off.
Texas and Oklahoma collide in the iconic Red River Showdown this Saturday, played on neutral ground and we have our #14 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas prediction. Both squads aim for a pivotal win, positioning themselves for a College Football Playoff spot. Moreover, it could serve as a significant Heisman Trophy boost for standouts like Quinn Ewers and Dillon Gabriel.
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#14 OKLAHOMA SOONERS VS. #3 TEXAS PREDICTION: Texas -6.5 (-110) at PointsBet Sportsbook
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#14 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas Prediction for Saturday, 10/7
Let’s dive into our #14 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas prediction. Coming off a stellar 40-14 victory against Kansas at home, Texas is gearing up to echo its 49-0 triumph over the Sooners from last year's face-off at the Cotton Bowl. In that resounding victory, an underdog Texas defense limited OU to a mere 195 total yards, with the Sooners managing a conversion on only three out of 15 third downs.
Yet, given the gravity of such a showdown, Oklahoma is drawing from last year's loss as motivation to flip the narrative. Under the guidance of Brent Venables in his second year, the Sooners have evolved dramatically. Even with a No. 12 rank, OU's undefeated 5-0 start seems to have flown under the radar. However, this could all pivot come this Saturday's game.
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#14 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas Free Picks & Best Bets
Given the current spread below a touchdown, we're inclined towards backing Texas at -6.5 (-110). Oklahoma's QB, Dillon Gabriel, has flourished under offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby, boasting a completion rate of 74.6% and a 132.9 passer rating. However, facing the formidable Texas defensive front could pose challenges.
While Oklahoma has a commendable top-50 pass-blocking grade according to PFF in their first five weeks, they haven't encountered a defensive line as potent as Texas'. UT's defensive star, Byron Murphy II, might replicate his Alabama performance where he logged four pressures, aiding in Texas' 34-24 road triumph.
Gabriel's efficiency tends to wane under pressure, with a completion rate dropping to 51.9% (14-of-27) and a passer rating of 55.3. In contrast, in unpressured situations, he's completed nearly 80% of his throws (103-of-130). The outcome on Saturday might hinge on Oklahoma's O-line and their pass protection.
We predict that Texas' defensive prowess will pose challenges for Oklahoma and the growing prowess of QB Quinn Ewers should bolster Texas, aiding them in preserving their unblemished record with a seven-point victory in this next chapter of the Red River Rivalry.
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#14 Oklahoma vs. #3 Texas Odds & Betting Lines via PointsBet Sportsbook for Saturday, October 7th, 2023
- Money line: #14 Oklahoma (+210) vs. #3 Texas (-260)
- Point spread: #14 Oklahoma +6.5 (-110) vs. #3 Texas -6.5 (-110)
- Game totals: Over 60 (-110) vs. Under 60 (-110)
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