Tankathon Mock Spin: Jazz Fall Victim to the Draft Lottery

With the NBA Draft Lottery approaching two weeks from today, now is a great time to look into a potential scenario for the Utah Jazz come May 16th. With a 4.5% chance to jump first overall, the Jazz will be clinging onto some slim chances to secure a franchise-changing talent.

Thanks to Tankathon.com, we're able to simulate as many potential draft lottery scenarios as we want to until the official day arrives. In this case, we simulated the lottery once to see how the order could eventually fall.

Here are the results we ended up with:

What would be an extremely unfortunate sight for Jazz fans, not only does the team not move up in this scenario, but they actually ended up falling to the 10th spot. Instead of Utah making the desired long jump, Oklahoma City ended up leapfrogging them with only an 8% chance to make the top four.

The Jazz picking 10th in the draft is the second-most likely outcome to occur come lottery time at a 25.9% chance. As for how the board could end up falling, here's a potential mock of how the lottery could go:

1. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama, C, France
2. Detroit Pistons: Brandon Miller, SF, Alabama
3. Charlotte Hornets: Scoot Henderson, PG, G-League Ignite
4. Oklahoma City Thunder: Cam Whitmore, PF, Villanova
5. Houston Rockets: Amen Thompson, PG, G-League Ignite
6. Portland Trail Blazers: Ausar Thompson, SG, G-League Ignite
7. Orlando Magic: Anthony Black, SF, Arkansas
8. Indiana Pacers: Jarace Walker, PF, Houston
9. Washington Wizards: Taylor Hendricks, PF, Central Florida
10. Utah Jazz: Gradey Dick, SF, Kansas
11. New York Knicks (via DAL): Jett Howard, Michigan
12. Orlando Magic (via CHI): Nick Smith Jr., PG, Arkansas
13. Toronto Raptors: Cason Wallace, Kentucky
14. New Orleans Pelicans: Jordan Hawkins, Connecticut

In this scenario, the Jazz manage to secure Kansas freshman, Gradey Dick at 10th overall. While Utah was ultimately unlucky in moving up, Gradey could end up being a valuable player that fits the current and future needs of the team.

He was a productive, lights-out shooter during his short time at Kansas, and also possesses the ideal size for an NBA wing at 6'7. The Jazz could easily plug in Dick in at the 2 or 3 to be a great floor-spacer for the next four years in Salt Lake City. Gradey's size and length also give him the potential to develop into a great perimeter defender at the next level.

An enticing prospect, but Dick is still nowhere near the quality of a player as any of the top three to five guys though. He lacks the top-tier athleticism that some of the other prospects possess and is still considered less of a polished product entering the league. Not a perfect prospect by any means, but that doesn't mean he can soon be a valuable piece to an NBA team with the right development and coaching.

While a move up to the top four would prove to be a great boost for the Jazz's current rebuild, there's still a great amount of value to be found later down the board. Utah will await the next two weeks to see where their pick officially lands for June's draft.

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