Heat vs. Suns Predictions, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Fri, 1/5
It hasn’t been the smoothest first couple of months for the Phoenix Suns, but that has primarily been due to injuries. Tonight, we’re expecting to see the big three on the court as they host the Miami Heat. With a matchup between two premier franchises, our experts have provided both a Heat vs. Suns prediction and player props.
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MIAMI HEAT VS. PHOENIX SUNS PREDICTION: Under 229.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Heat vs. Suns Prediction for Friday, 1/5
Not only have the Suns dealt with multiple injuries this season, but so have the Heat. Tyler Herro missed a significant chunk of time early in the year, and Jimmy Butler has missed action as recently as Wednesday night.
Despite that, Miami is still a top four team in the Eastern Conference, while Phoenix is focusing on breaking through the Play-In Tournament threshold. The Suns have also struggled in terms of covering the spread this season, but with Butler not 100% healthy, we don’t want to have to trust the Heat either.
Therefore, we’re focused on a low-scoring game. Defense has been the calling card in Miami for quite some time, and a primary factor in their ability to make the NBA Finals last season. They’re just outside the top five in terms of points allowed per game, while also being in the bottom 10 in terms of points scored per game.
That’s a perfect recipe for a low-scoring game, so we’re making our best Heat vs. Suns prediction under 229.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Heat vs. Suns Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Kevin Durant & Bam Adebayo
We’ll be the first to admit that rooting against points isn’t the most fun approach, so we also have Heat vs. Suns player props for you. These can be difficult given the unknown with Butler and Phoenix’s abundance of weapons, but we’ve still found some great spots to target.
The first of which is Suns superstar Kevin Durant. Although Miami has an excellent defense, of the few guys in the world who are truly matchup-proof, KD is one of them. He’s considered among the best pure scorers in NBA history, if not the absolute best. KD also seems to step up in the biggest moments, including games against top teams like the Heat.
He’s averaging just under 27 points per game against Miami in his career, and that’s mild for him. There have been multiple 40-point games, several 30-point performances and fans of all teams know that he’s capable of going off for 50+ on any given night. So, we’re comfortable taking Kevin Durant over points at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Adding to our Heat vs. Suns player props is Miami center Bam Adebayo. He’s a true rebounder that we love to support in most cases, but Phoenix provides a rare bad matchup for him. They’re #1 in the league in terms of rebounds allowed per game, which is what they hoped for when making the switch from Deandre Ayton to Jusuf Nurkic.
The former Chicago Bull is averaging double-digit boards per game, and even KD can help in that department. With Bam averaging a tenth of a rebound higher than Nurkic, it’s nearly a dead even battle, but Adebayo’s prop is nearly always inflated given his history. We also aren’t concerned about seeing him with double-digit rebounds a few times against Phoenix in his career, as they’re a different with Nurkic down low now.
Therefore, we’re going with Bam Adebayo under 10.5 rebounds (-125 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
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Heat vs. Suns Betting Odds & Lines via DraftKings Sportsbook
The latest DraftKings Sportsbook odds are listed below, where a $110 bet on our Heat vs. Suns prediction profits $100 as long as the game ends with XX points or fewer:
Point spread:
- Miami Heat +4 (-110) vs. Phoenix Suns -4 (-110)
Money line:
- Miami Heat (+142) vs. Phoenix Suns (-170)
Total (over/under):
- Over 229.5 (-110) vs. Under 229.5 (-110)
In terms of our Heat vs. Suns player props, a $125 bet on Bam Adebayo under 10.5 rebounds profits $100 as long as Adebayo stays under 10 rebounds.
Heat vs. Suns Injury Report and Projected Lineup
We want you to have all the information regarding the matchup, so here are the projected lineups and injury notes:
MIA Heat:
- Kyle Lowry
- Tyler Herro
- Jimmy Butler
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.
- Bam Adebayo
PHX Suns:
- Devin Booker
- Bradley Beal
- Grayson Allen
- Kevin Durant
- Jusuf Nurkic
There’s no question that the main guy to keep an eye on is Butler. KD is listed as day-to-day, but he is expected to suit up after taking the night off on Wednesday. Be sure to take advantage of everything above by joining DraftKings here for over $150 in guaranteed bonuses.
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