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Bears vs. Commanders Prediction, Best Bets & Odds for 10/5

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The Chicago Bears looked primed for their first win of the 2023-24 season when they hosted the Denver Broncos this past Sunday, but ultimately collapsed late in the game. While that was certainly frustrating for the Chicago faithful, they have a great opportunity to quickly bounce back on Thursday Night Football against the Washington Commanders.

Below, you’ll find our best Bears vs. Commanders prediction and how you can claim a brand new multi-part DraftKings Sportsbook promo using any Bears vs. Commanders odds. If you’re in Kentucky and ready to take advantage of the launch of sports betting, make sure to check out DraftKings' welcome offer to register and earn $200 in bonus bets.

CHICAGO BEARS VS. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS PREDICTION: Under 44.5 (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

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Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders Prediction for NFL Week 5

With two struggling teams entering a matchup on a short week, there’s no doubt that making Bears vs. Commanders best bets can be difficult. It’s also quite surprising to see Washington as favorites of nearly a full touchdown.

There’s no denying that the Bears have been disappointing, but it’s not as if the Commanders have a star-studded roster either. Even at the QB position, many fans would agree that they’d rather have the athletic Justin Fields under center rather than Sam Howell. Regardless, it’s difficult to trust Chicago, especially on the road, so we’re simply going to make it so we don’t have to worry about who wins the game.

Instead, our Bears vs. Commanders prediction is focused on the total, or over/under, and for good reason.

Bears vs. Commanders Picks & NFL Best Bets for 10/5 Including Under 44.5

With a total that originally opened at 43 points, it’s just as surprising to see the slight increase as it is to see Washington so heavily favored. We’ll take advantage of that shift by focusing on the under.

The Bears and Commanders were both in the bottom 10 of the NFL in terms of points scored last season, and their offensive skill groups stayed very much the same. In fact, entering the year, they were both in the top favorites to score the fewest points overall this year. We also aren’t concerned about last week’s higher-scoring games, as they’re more of an outlier than the expectation.

Fields looked the best that he has all season last week, but it clearly hasn’t been enough to lead to wins. Chicago hasn’t had a true superstar WR in what feels like forever, and they also decided not to retain RB David Montgomery this year, who we all so go off for 121 yards and three touchdowns on Thursday Night Football last week.

Therefore, it’s no surprise that in the Bears two road games this season, they’ve scored 17 and 10 points. While they have a great opportunity to snag their first win, we won’t expect them to do so by lighting up the scoreboard. Instead, they need to take the approach that the Buffalo Bills did two weeks ago.

That was a home game for Washington, where Howell threw four interceptions and the Commanders scored just three points. In their only other home game, Washington still only scored 20 points against an Arizona Cardinals team that is expected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL overall.

Lastly, these teams played just last season in a 12-7 game, so we're going to focus our Bears vs. Commanders prediction on the under 44.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).

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Latest Bears vs. Commanders Odds, Betting Lines & Spread for 10/5 Provided by DraftKings

Whether you prefer our Bears vs. Commanders prediction or want to attack the Bears vs. Commanders odds in a different way, we’ve shared the latest lines at DraftKings Sportsbook below:

Point spread:

  • Chicago Bears +6.5 (-105) vs. Washington Commanders -6.5 (-115)

Money line:

  • Chicago Bears (+240) vs. Washington Commanders (-298)

Total (over/under):

  • Over 44.5 (-110) vs. Under 44.5 (-110)

So, if you back our Bears vs. Commanders prediction on under 44.5, an $11 wager profits $10 as long as the game ends with 44 or fewer points scored.

Chicago Bears Injury Report Ahead of TNF

Of course, it’s important to analyze injury concerns before making any picks, including our Bears vs. Commanders prediction, so we have the latest regarding Chicago for you here:

  • Eddie Jackson - Out
  • Jaylon Johnson - Out
  • Travis Homer - Questionable

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