Falcons vs. Jaguars Prediction, Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 10/1
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Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has become the home away from home for the NFL, and that’s where the Atlanta Falcons will be this Sunday to face the Jacksonville Jaguars for the league’s first London game of the season. It’s a 9:30 AM ET kickoff, and we’re here to get you set for the early action with our best Falcons vs. Jaguars prediction.
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FALCONS VS. JAGUARS PREDICTION: Under 43.5 points (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
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NFL Week 4 Prediction for Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, 10/1
The spread for this London contest has been sitting on that key number of three all week, and our experts are also predicting a close game. Atlanta surged out of the gates with a 2-0 start but were brought back down to Earth last weekend.
As for the Jags, they suffered one of the biggest upsets of the year thus far, falling to the Houston Texans. Along with the unique travel situation, we’d rather not have to trust either team to win after lackluster showings. Instead, we’re going to focus on the over/under with our Falcons vs. Jaguars prediction, so let’s explain why.
Falcons vs. Jaguars NFL Best Bets & Picks Featuring Under 43.5 Points
First and foremost, the Texans had allowed 56 points across the first two games of the season, yet the Jags weren’t able to muster up more than 17 last weekend. After scoring just six points in Week 2, Jacksonville has scored just 19 points per game this year.
Similarly, the Falcons faced a rather weak Detroit Lions defense this past weekend, but were also only able to put up just six points, putting their season average even lower at just 18.3 points per game. Along with the jet lag factor, we’re expecting some sluggish offenses come Sunday morning.
What also supports our case is the youth of both teams. The QBs are in just their second and third seasons, and the featured RBs are a rookie and third-year player. In fact, the Falcons’ top pass-catchers - Drake London and Kyle Pitts - only have a handful of years’ worth of experience between them.
Atlanta has won the past four meetings, so backing them as part of your Falcons vs. Jaguars best bets isn’t a bad call, but our best Falcons vs. Jaguars prediction is under 43.5 points (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
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Betting Odds & Lines at BetMGM for Falcons vs. Jaguars NFL Week 4 on Sunday, October 1st, 2023
With our Falcons vs. Jaguars prediction focused on under 43.5 points, based on the BetMGM Sportsbook odds below, an $11 wager profits $10 as long as the game ends with 43 or fewer points scored.
Point spread:
- Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars -3 (-110)
Money line:
- Atlanta Falcons (+135) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-160)
Total (over/under):
- Over 43.5 (-110) vs. Under 43.5 (-110)
Falcons vs. Lions Highlights: Stats Last Week
Now that you have the latest Falcons vs. Jaguars odds, let’s take a look at last week’s top performers:
- QB Desmond Ridder: 21-for-38, 201 passing yards
- RB Bijan Robinson: 10 carries, 33 rushing yards
- TE Kyle Pitts: five receptions, 41 receiving yards
Our Falcons vs. Jaguars prediction doesn't expect an offensive explosion this week either, and you can fade or follow our best bet by signing up at BetMGM for your $1,500 bonus offer.
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