Packers vs. Lions Player Prop Bets, Spread Picks, Lines for Thanksgiving
When the Green Bay Packers began this season 2-1, and early optimism was building, fans circled the Thanksgiving game in Detroit as a potentially pivotal game for the NFC North. Alas, the Packers are now 4-6 while the Lions own a tight grip on the division with an 8-2 record. Some point to the Lions’ Thursday night thrashing in Green Bay back on September 28 as the defining moment for both squads.
Now, nearly two months later, the Packers seek revenge on the road while clinging to their last string of playoff hopes, and the Lions hope to bury the rival that long-held this division in its palm. There’s nothing like the Thanksgiving NFL tripleheader, and with the Packers and Lions kicking off the action at 12:30 PM ET, our experts preview this game in the contents below, highlighting our Packers vs. Lions player props and spread pick with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
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PACKERS VS. LIONS PREDICTION: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Prediction for Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions & Player Prop Picks Highlighting Jordan Love & Jahmyr Gibbs for Today, 11/23
While the Packers should enter this game with some fire in their belly and vengeance on their minds, we have yet to see this team display a spirited performance for four quarters all year. Let's be real, the Packers didn’t so much beat the Chargers as the Chargers beat themselves, with a fumble inside the Green Bay five-yard line and multiple crucial drops from the wide receiving corps.
The Lions, on the other hand, won their second consecutive nail-biter, despite trailing the Chicago Bears at home by 12 with three minutes left in the game. With the Packers vs. Lions spread set at 7.5, maybe the Packers can make it three consecutive tight margins for the Lions, but rest assured, we believe the Lions will emerge from this game victorious.
When it comes to Packers vs. Lions player props, we have two prop bets we love, including a player from each team.
Green Bay Packers: Jordan Love Over 33.5 Pass Attempts ( -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Packers already suffer from a weak ground game while the Lions own one of the best run defenses in the league. Factor in Aaron Jones is unlikely to play on short rest after being carted off on Sunday, and the Packers are left with A.J. Dillon to face this elite unit.
In round one against the Lions, the Packers’ leading rusher earned 18 yards. Love was forced to throw the ball 36 times in the loss. With the running game missing virtually all year, the Packers have asked a lot of Love through the air. In the past two games, Love has thrown it 40 times. Four times this year already, Love has thrown it 40+ times.
With an expected deficit and an unreliable running effort that likely will be without Jones, we love the value in Love to go over 33.5 pass attempts today.
Detroit Lions: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Ever since coming back from injury against these Packers, Jahmyr Gibbs has been a different player. In his return, against the Ravens on October 22, the Lions were slaughtered. The silver lining, however, was Gibbs’ dynamic performance: 11 carries for 68 yards and a score, plus nine catches for 58 yards.
Gibbs has also scored a touchdown in the three games since. He is no vulture, either. With David Montgomery and Gibbs in the fold, the two have been able to co-exist with efficient and effective play. While Gibbs’ -125 value to score a touchdown today is attractive, we instead focus on his receiving yards total, which is set at 27.5. Since coming back from injury, Gibbs has cleared 35 receiving yards in all four games, so it's curious why his total here is so low.
To compound our confidence, Gibbs has received at least five targets in each of these games. Given his opportunity and effectiveness after the catch in space, we believe Gibbs to go over 27.5 receiving yards is a steal.
Packers vs. Lions Spread & Free Pick Against the Spread
Despite beating the Packers by 14 in Green Bay, the Lions are only -7.5 (-110 at DraftKings) at home today. Despite back-to-back close wins, the Lions are still 7-3 against the spread this season. The Packers have a propensity to play tight games, however, so we understand why the line is where it's at.
While we are more confident in our Packers vs. Lions player props, when it comes to the Packers vs. Lions spread, we side with Packers +7.5 (-110 at DraftKings), thanks to the hook and because this is a morning game on short rest, so the offenses might not be as sharp as they typically would.
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Packers vs. Lions Betting Odds & Lines at DraftKings for Thanksgiving Day on November 23rd, 2023
Below, we provide DraftKings’ Packers vs. Lions lines and odds regarding the main markets, plus the odds concerning our Packers vs. Lions prop bets.
- Spread: Packers +7.5 (-110) vs. Lions -7.5 (-110)
- Money Line: Packers (+295) vs. Lions (-375)
- Game Total: Over 47.5 (-108) / Under 47.5 (-112)
- Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards: Over 27.5 (-115) / Under 27.5 (-115)
- Jordan Love Pass Attempts: Over 33.5 (-105) / Under 33.5 (-115)
If you want to target either of our Packers vs. Lions player props, a $115 bet on Gibbs profits $110 if he records 28 receiving yards or more, while a $105 bet on Love profits $100 if he throws the ball 34 times or more.
Packers Injury Report for Today on Thanksgiving vs. Detroit
Here, we provide the Packers’ injury report ahead of today’s game:
- Aaron Jones RB - Out
- Luke Musgrave TE - IR
- Josiah Deguara TE - Questionable
- Rudy Ford S - Questionable
- Dontayvion Wicks WR - Questionable
Consulting the injury report is valuable leading up to the game as it can have an effect on our Packers vs. Lions prop bets, so once you have done your due diligence, join DraftKings for an instant $150+ bonus.
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