Texans vs. Saints Prediction, Picks, Odds for NFL Preseason Week 3, 8/27

The Houston Texans will be headed to the bayou on Sunday to take on the New Orleans Saints in what will be both teams' final preseason game of 2023. The Saints are a perfect 2-0 in the preseason and look to continue the trend with Jameis Winston and budding rookie star Kendre Miller leading the charge.

On the other side, first-year head coach Demeco Ryans looks to prepare his team (and his rookie quarterback) for the regular season coming off of a rather uncompetitive loss to the Miami Dolphins last week. Keep reading to see our Texans vs. Saints prediction, which you can fade or follow using a $1,000 new-user bonus from BetMGM Sportsbook.

HOUSTON TEXANS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS PREDICTION: TEXANS +3 (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook

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Texans vs. Saints Prediction for NFL Preseason Week 3 on Sunday, 8/27

While the New Orleans Saints have put together a strong preseason thus far, it is still just that, preseason. And with preseason comes unpredictability. In this particular matchup between the Texans and Saints, a three-point spread catches our eye. Our Texans vs. Saints prediction leads us to believe that this game will be decided by less than a field goal, with a pretty solid chance that Houston can come away with a victory (if you’re interested in a little bit of a riskier play with juice).

More often than not, the scoring in preseason tends to slow down the longer they play as the less experienced players enter the game. That’s why looking at the quarterback situation is crucial. Typically the third-string quarterback is a guy who might not be an NFL-caliber player. That is not the case with Houston.

They have three starting-caliber QBs in C.J. Stroud, Davis Mills and Case Keenum. A guy like Keenum will be licking his chops at the chance to throw against a fourth and fifth-string secondary. On top of that, the Saints are more inclined to rest/limit snaps for their starters than Houston, as their positional battles are relatively settled.

This could also give Houston an advantage early in the game as they have starters where the Saints do not. Even though Saints rookie running back Kendre Miller may see significant time this week, we still believe that Houston has the advantage early in the game as well as the end when it comes to personnel. At the end of the day, it is going to come down to which team has the hungrier group of fringe roster players.

Texans vs. Saints Picks Featuring Texans +3 (-110 at BetMGM)

As we mentioned previously, preseason games tend to be close, low-scoring games. That instantly puts any game in the preseason with a spread larger than three on our radar. Our Texans vs. Saints prediction falls right into that category.

We love the underdog in this one and believe Houston has a great chance to make a statement. Demeco Ryans is surely unhappy with how their 28-3 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 2 of preseason went, and he’ll be looking to get his team back on track heading into Week 1. They are expected to play most of their starters for at least one quarter and have plenty of depth in other areas to try and find success in New Orleans.

With Alvin Kamara likely to get some early snaps to keep him in football shape despite his upcoming three-game suspension, the task will be tall for Houston’s defense. On top of that, Kendre Miller has started to emerge as a potential playmaker on the Saints offense.

Regardless of that, our Texans vs. Saints prediction is the Texans +3 (-110 at BetMGM). If they can find the endzone early, they just might be able to take control of the game and walk out of Caesars Superdome with a crucial moral victory to carry high hopes into the regular season.

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Texans vs. Saints Odds & Projected Lineup for the Final Week of NFL Preseason on Sunday, August 27th, 2023

Here are the latest odds at BetMGM for Sunday's preseason game in New Orleans:

Spread: Houston Texans +3 (-110) vs. New Orleans Saints -3 (-110)

Money Line: Houston Texans (+130) vs. New Orleans Saints (-155)

Game Total (over/under): Over 37.5 (-110) vs. Under 37.5 (-110)

An $11 bet on Houston +3 profits $10 if they pull off the upset or lose by less than a FG, while an $11 wager on New Orleans -3 returns $10 of winnings if they're victorious by four or more. If the Saints win by three points, both bets push, and all wagers are refunded.

Although lineups aren't available yet, the majority of the Houston Texans starters will see some time in the first half of Sunday’s exhibition match. On the flip side, Derek Carr is likely to see very few, if any snaps in this weekend’s game. Kendre Miller and Alvin Kamara are both expected to see some snaps.

Overall, we expect Houston to utilize their starters slightly more than New Orleans, which should further strengthen our Texans vs. Saints prediction. You can fade or follow our pick if you join BetMGM before kickoff this Sunday night.

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