
Australian Open Men's Final Predictions, Tennis Picks & Betting Odds
The Australian Open – the first Grand Slam of the 2024 tennis season – will come to a conclusion on Sunday night. For the first time since 2005, the men’s singles final will not include any member of the Big 3 – Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, or Roger Federer. Nonetheless, a grand finale can be expected. It’s a blockbuster battle between world No. 3 Daniil Medvedev and world No. 4 Jannik Sinner. Both players are seeking their first title at Melbourne Park.
Our experts have broken down the Australian Open men’s final odds and are ready to deliver their favorite Australian Open men’s final predictions. If you're in the states of AZ, IA, IL, IN, LA, KS, KY, MA, MD, NY, OH, TN, WV and WY, make sure you sign up with Caesars Sportsbook in time for this hotly-contested final in the Australian Open.
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AUSTRALIAN OPEN PREDICTION: Daniil Medvedev +4.5 games (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook)
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2024 Australian Open Men's Final Predictions: Saturday, 1/27
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner Prediction
The first of our experts’ Australian Open men’s final predictions is for Medvedev to cover a +4.5 game spread.
Sinner is a sizable favorite on Sunday because he has been the hottest player on tour dating back to last fall. The 22-year-old's win over Djokovic in the semifinals on Friday was his third in the past three months (he also beat the world No. 1 twice last fall). However, this in Sinner’s first-ever appearance in a Grand Slam final. You never know how an up-and-comer – even one as good as Sinner – is going to handle such an occasion.
Medvedev, on the other hand, is already a major winner (2021 U.S. Open) and this is his sixth slam final – including his third at the Australian Open. The Russian not only has the experience edge but also the head-to-head matchup advantage. He has won six of nine previous meetings with Sinner. As such, the first of our Australian Open men’s final picks is on Medvedev covering a somewhat generous +4.5 number.
Australian Open Men's Final Picks & Tennis Best Bets Featuring Over 38.5 Games
If you want additional Australian Open men’s final predictions, you have come to the right place.
Our experts also like Over 38.5 games to be played in the match. Sinner has been mostly crushing opponents this fortnight, but he was a massive favorite in his first five matches Djokovic was admittedly horrible in the semis. Medvedev – as both his overall resume and head-to-head history with Sinner suggest – is a very tough opponent. Five of their last seven meetings have required final sets, including two of three this past fall. The only recent encounter that didn’t go to a decisive set was an extremely competitive 7-6(2), 7-6(2) win for Sinner.
Medvedev has already played three five setters during this event. It would no surprise if he has to play another. As a result, Over 38.5 is among our Australian Open men’s final best bets.
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Betting Odds, Lines & Spreads for the Australian Open Men's Final at Caesars Sportsbook
Before making your Australian Open men’s final predictions, it is important to be familiar with the Australian Open men’s final odds.
Sinner is a -275 money line favorite on Sunday, while Medvedev comes in as a +235 underdog. That means a $27.50 bet on Sinner returns $10 of profit if he wins; a $10 wager on Medvedev gets you $23.50 in winnings if he pulls off an upset to take the title.
The game total, or over/under is set at 38.5 games and both sides are priced at -110. That means an $11 wager on the over is successful and nets $10 in profits if at least 39 games are played in the match. An $11 bet on the under returns $10 in winnings if no more than 38 games are played.
2024 Australian Open Bracket & Schedule
Sunday’s Australian Open men’s singles final between Medvedev and Sinner begins at 7:30 pm local time (3:30 am ET) and will be televised on ESPN.
Sinner has made his way through the bracket in dominant fashion. The Italian lost just one set in total – to Djokovic in the semifinals. He preceded that result by beating Botic van de Zandschulp, Jesper de Jong, Sebastian Baez, Karen Khachanov and Andrey Rublev. Medvedev had much more difficulty getting past Terence Atmane, Emil Ruusuvuori, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Nuno Borges, Hubert Hurkacz and Alexander Zverev. The Russian’s matches with Ruusuvori, Hurkacz and Zverev all went five sets.
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