Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds Today: SEC Tournament
Buzz Williams and his veteran Texas A&M Aggies (19-13) enter today’s men’s basketball SEC Tournament quarterfinal squarely on the bubble for a bid in the NCAA Tournament. Last night, Texas A&M defeated Ole Miss, 80-71. Tonight, they face the #9 Kentucky Wildcats (23-8). Following an excellent finish to the regular season, winning in Knoxville, the Wildcats are in the mix for a No. 3 or No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament and make their SEC Tournament debut tonight with fresh legs.
In this article, I deliver my official Texas A&M vs. Kentucky prediction, complete with Texas A&M vs. Kentucky odds and a $150 sign-up bonus courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. After the pick below, read on for an in-depth game preview, and details of this DraftKings offer.
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🏀 TEXAS A&M VS. KENTUCKY PREDICTION: Over 160 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings)
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Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Prediction for Today's SEC Tournament Game: SECN
In the lone meeting between Texas A&M and Kentucky this season, A&M took it down in overtime in College Station, 97-92. While both teams entered the 2023-24 season ranked, that result feels like an upset in hindsight.
Both teams have had rollercoaster seasons, but Kentucky was able to minimize cold streaks while A&M’s persisted. Following a five-game losing streak in February, the Aggies come into tonight riding a four-game win streak in March. Unfortunately for them, Kentucky has also steadied the ship, riding a five-game win streak into tonight.
So, both teams are playing quality basketball, but how do their betting stats this season factor into my Texas A&M vs. Kentucky prediction?
Well, A&M is now 15-17 against the spread and 19-13 (over/under) on game totals. Meanwhile, Kentucky enters tonight 18-13 ATS and 22-8 (over/under) on game totals. A&M’s win last night went well over the game total, as did the January meeting between these two teams.
In a situation where this game should mean a lot more for Texas A&M and its veteran players, Kentucky is the more rested and talented team. And with a distinct contrast of play styles, I am not as confident with a pick on the Texas A&M vs. Kentucky spread. Instead, I focus my Texas A&M vs. Kentucky picks on the game total. Let’s get into why, shall we?
Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Picks & Best Bets Including Over 160
Overtime wasn’t necessary for the first game to smash the game total, but it went OT anyhow. Tonight could very well reach overtime again, and for that reason, I keep the Texas A&M vs. Kentucky spread away from my Texas A&M vs. Kentucky picks in favor of predicting a high-scoring affair.
No matter how you break it down, the 189 points scored in the first A&M vs. Kentucky meeting were justified. The way the Aggies and Wildcats matchup, it's destiny that plenty of points are scored. While it is a bit scary backing the Aggies to be part of an over on any game total, due to their 348th-ranked effective field-goal percentage, 360th from three-point territory, the Aggies still boast an efficient offense thanks to three key factors.
Texas A&M has the best offensive rebounding rate in the country, is one of the best teams in the country at limiting turnovers and frequently get to the charity stripe and knock down free throws.
Kentucky’s defense plays into these strengths, as the Wildcats struggle to rebound on the defensive end, don’t force turnovers and foul a considerable amount. Pair all this with the fact Wade Taylor and Tyrece Radford can get hot from deep, as they did in the first meeting, and you have a recipe for plenty of Texas A&M points.
Now, Kentucky’s offense needs no introduction. Perhaps the best two weapons in the sport, freshmen Rob Dillingham and Reed Sheppard, come off Kentucky’s bench, while veteran starters Antonio Reeves and Tre Mitchell hold it down with two more uber-talented freshmen, D.J. Wagner and Justin Edwards.
Kentucky ranks sixth in offensive efficiency, per KenPom, highlighted by the best three-point shooting percentage in college basketball (42.1%).
Texas A&M isn’t particularly bad in any area on defense, but they aren’t great in any area either. The one area A&M can be exposed is the three-point line, as they allow 37.1% of points to come from deep, nearly 7% higher than average.
Texas A&M owns the glass, but with tired legs, and Kentucky owns the pace and the three-point shooting arsenal, with fresh legs. Everything points towards 🔒 Over 160 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings), 🔒 and you can click my official Texas A&M vs. Kentucky prediction to register with DraftKings and earn an instant $150 bonus with your first $5 bet.
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Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Betting Odds, Lines & Spreads at DraftKings
Below, uncover the spread, money line and game total odds for Texas A&M vs. Kentucky at DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Point Spread: Texas A&M +5.5 (-110) vs. Kentucky -5.5 (-110)
- Money Line: Texas A&M (+195) vs. Kentucky (-238)
- Game Total: Over 160 (-110) / Under 160 (-110)
If you tail my Texas A&M vs. Kentucky prediction, a $110 bet on ✔️ Over 160 Total Points (-110 at DraftKings) ✔️ profits $100 if the two teams combine to score 161 points or more.
Probable Lineups for Texas A&M vs. Kentucky Today, 3/15
Aggies:
- Wade Taylor
- Tyrece Radford
- Manny Obaseki
- Wildens Leveque
- Solomon Washington
Kentucky:
- Antonio Reeves
- D.J. Wagner
- Justin Edwards
- Tre Mitchell (Q)
- Ugonna Onyenso
College Basketball SEC Tournament Bracket
Eight teams remain in the SEC Tournament. The winner of #7 Texas A&M vs. #2 Kentucky gets the winner of #6 Florida vs. #3 Alabama. Up top, #9 Mississippi State plays #1 Tennessee, and #5 South Carolina plays #4 Auburn.
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