Bucks vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Today, 2/23
Heading into the 2023-24 NBA season, a matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Minnesota Timberwolves was never thought to be an NBA Finals preview. However, the T-Wolves had been arguably the best team in the league prior to the All-Star break. With Milwaukee still being a top contender in the Eastern Conference, we’re here to add to the matchup with our best Bucks vs. Timberwolves prediction and player props.
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🏀 BUCKS VS. TIMBERWOLVES PREDICTION: Under 225.5 Points (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
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Bucks vs. Timberwolves Prediction for Today, 2/23 on ESPN
Entering the All-Star break, the Bucks and Timberwolves sat in third and first in their respective conferences. However, Milwaukee has been the far more difficult team to trust. So, while Minnesota has a great opportunity for a big win tonight, our Bucks vs. Timberwolves prediction focuses on the total, or over/under.
Minnesota has been the biggest surprise story of the NBA thanks to their incredible defense. They have the best defensive efficiency rating in the league, which has led them to have the best scoring defense, and it isn’t even close. The T-Wolves allow fewer than 106 points per game, and Milwaukee’s offense has not been impressing us.
Over their last seven games, they scored more than 112 points just one time. In fact, one of those games came against Minnesota, in which they scored just 105 points. Minnesota’s incredible defense has continued since then, as they allowed just 91 points in their last game before the All-Star break.
Along with Khris Middleton injured for Milwaukee, we’re confident in making our best Bucks vs. Timberwolves prediction 🌟 Under 225.5 Points (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Bucks vs. Timberwolves Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Damian Lillard & Rudy Gobert
If you’d rather not root against points with a guy like Giannis Antetokounmpo on the court, that’s why we also have Bucks vs. Timberwolves player props for you. We’re not targeting the Greek Freak this time around, but their other superstar instead.
That would, of course, be Damian Lillard. He’s fresh off an All-Star Game MVP award, and that was directly following his Three-Point Contest victory. This will actually be his first game against Minnesota as a member of the Bucks, as he was unavailable when they met earlier this month. Despite the All-Star performances, we’re not targeting his points prop tonight.
Of course, that’s in large part due to Minnesota's great defense, and the points that Milwaukee does score, which we expect Lillard to facilitate. He ended the first half of the season with seven assists and has averaged 6.5 assists this month so far. It’s not the craziest number in the world, but Milwaukee needs great ball movement to navigate around this Minnesota defense.
With that in mind, we’re taking Damian Lillard Over 5.5 Assists (-130 at BetMGM Sportsbook). We also have a target on the Minnesota side of the matchup, and it’s somewhat sticking with their defensive prowess. Specifically, we’re focused on the action in the paint, as Rudy Gobert has been a beast this season.
His 12.5 rebounds per game is behind only Domantas Sabonis for the most in the NBA, and although Milwaukee has Giannis to contend with, he’s going to need to focus on his scoring with Middleton out of the picture. Gobert has had double-digit rebounds in all seven games this month, including 13+ in four of them.
Therefore, our other Bucks vs. Timberwolves player props pick is Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Rebounds (-130 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
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Bucks vs. Timberwolves Odds & Lines via BetMGM Sportsbook for Today, February 23rd, 2024
In terms of our Bucks vs. Timberwolves prediction of Under 225.5 (-110 at BetMGM), a $110 bet profits $100 as long as the game ends with 225 points or fewer.
- Point Spread: Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 (-110) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-105)
- Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks (+150) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (-185)
- Total (over/under): Over 225.5 (-110) vs. Under 225.5 (-110)
- Damian Lillard Assists: Over 5.5 (-130) vs. Under 5.5 (+100)
- Rudy Gobert Rebounds: Over 12.5 (-130) vs. Under 12.5 (-105)
As for our Bucks vs. Timberwolves player props, a $130 bet on Damian Lillard profits $100 as long as he records at least six assists, while a $115 bet on Rudy Gobert profits $100 as long as he has 13 rebounds or more.
Bucks vs. Timberwolves Injury Report and Projected Starters for Today's Game on ESPN
Wrapping things up for tonight’s matchup is a quick look at the projected starting lineups for each team:
MIL Bucks:
- Damian Lillard
- Malik Beasley
- Jae Crowder
- Giannis Antetokounmpo
- Brook Lopez
MIN Timberwolves:
- Mike Conley
- Anthony Edwards
- Jaden McDaniels
- Karl-Anthony Towns
- Rudy Gobert
As mentioned in our Bucks vs. Timberwolves prediction, the most notable injury is to Khris Middleton of Milwaukee, while Minnesota is without Wendell Moore Jr. and Jaylen Clark. A mildly depleted Milwaukee team and a healthy Minnesota squad with a great defense have us confident in our Bucks vs. Timberwolves prediction resulting in a low-scoring game. Whether you want to fade or follow us, make sure you do so with your guaranteed $150 boost by joining BetMGM with promo code FANNATION.
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