Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Today, 1/25
The Boston Celtics look to extend their NBA-best record tonight in the last game of the three-game road trip down in South Beach against the Miami Heat. It’s a rematch of last year’s Eastern Conference Finals, so many consider it to be the marquee matchup of the night. With that in mind, we have our experts’ Celtics vs. Heat prediction and player props for you.
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CELTICS VS. HEAT PREDICTION: Under 224.5 points (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
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Celtics vs. Heat Predictions for Today, 1/25 on TNT
While this matchup may be a repeat of the two best teams in the Eastern Conference last year, it seems to be Boston on cruise control this year. Miami just felt the need to make quite a significant trade by sending Kyle Lowry to the Charlotte Hornets for Terry Rozier.
Along with the Milwaukee Bucks recently firing their head coach, Jayson Tatum and the Celtics have remained under the radar for a team with 34 wins already this year. On top of all that, the Heat enter this game on the second leg of a back-to-back. That has us leaning in the direction of Boston, but our main focus is on a low-scoring game.
That has been the calling card for both teams this season, as they rank fourth and fifth in terms of points allowed per game. Boston’s success should continue with Miami now needing time to adjust their roster and lineups with a new piece in the mix. Let’s also not forget how last year’s Eastern Conference Finals ended.
Each of the last four games stayed under the total, and with Miami winning the series, Boston is sure to want to continue getting their revenge after already winning this matchup back at the start of the season. A rested Boston team should have lock-down defense on a tired Miami team, making our best Celtics vs. Heat prediction Under 224.5 Points (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
Celtics vs. Heat Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Jaylen Brown & Bam Adebayo
Despite us focusing on a low-scoring game, that doesn’t mean we won’t see strong games from anyone. For Boston, we’re expecting a strong night from Jaylen Brown. We know Tatum is considered the true superstar, but Brown would be ‘the guy’ on many other teams.
He’s also been the one that has picked up the slack when the Celtics play the Heat, which was evident in last year’s series. Tatum caught plenty of flak in some of those games, but Brown stepped up, scoring 26 and 21 points in two of the last three games of that series. That continued in their meeting earlier this year, where Brown dropped 27 points.
Along with that fact that he’s coming off a 34-point performance, we’re targeting Jaylen Brown Over 22.5 Points (-110 at BetMGM Sportsbook) for the first of our Celtics vs. Heat player props. As for Miami, it’s likely no surprise where we’re headed.
Heat center Bam Adebayo has been known as a rebounding machine, and he now has a solid matchup. As great as Boston’s defense has been overall, they’re still nearly inside the bottom 10 in terms of opponent rebounds per game. That’s in part due to their new center, Kristaps Porzingis not being 100% healthy.
While he is expected to be on the court tonight, Adebayo is going to have to control the frontcourt as the team adjusts to their new backcourt. He’s proven he can do so against Boston, recording double-digit rebounds in each of the last two games in last year’s playoff series.
It won’t be his easiest game by any means, but we’re still comfortable adding to our Celtics vs. Heat player props with Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (-135 at BetMGM Sportsbook).
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Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Lines via BetMGM Sportsbook for Today, January 25th, 2024
We’ve covered the lines and odds at BetMGM Sportsbook regarding our best bets for you below followed by a quick payout breakdown:
Point Spread:
- Boston Celtics -7.5 (-110) vs. Miami Heat + (-110)
Money Line:
- Boston Celtics (-350) vs. Miami Heat (+260)
Total (over/under):
- Over 224.5 (-105) vs. Under 224.5 (-115)
Jaylen Brown Points:
- Over 22.5 (-110) vs. Under 22.5 (-120)
Bam Adebayo Rebounds:
- Over 10.5 (-135) vs. Under 10.5 (+100)
Starting with our Celtics vs. Heat prediction, a $115 bet on under 224.5 profits $100 as long as the game ends with 224 points or fewer. Jumping to our Celtics vs. Heat player props, a $110 bet on Jaylen Brown profits $100 as long as he scores at least 23 points, while a $135 bet on Bam Adebayo profits $100 as long as he pulls down at least 11 rebounds.
Celtics vs. Heat Injury Report and Projected Starters for Today's Game on TNT
Finally, we have tonight’s projected lineups for both teams below followed by notable injury concerns:
BOS Celtics:
- Jrue Holiday
- Derrick White
- Jaylen Brown
- Jayson Tatum
- Kristaps Porzingis
MIA Heat:
- Terry Rozier
- Tyler Herro
- Jimmy Butler
- Caleb Martin
- Bam Adebayo
Boston still has Porzingis listed as day-to-day as he continues getting healthier, while Miami is without Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Dru Smith. Now that you’re locked into everything regarding the matchup and have our Celtics vs. Heat prediction and player props, make sure you take full advantage of the BetMGM promo code FNBoston and create a new account today.
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