Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Today, 3/7
One of the most interesting matchups on tonight’s seven-game NBA slate takes place in Dallas with the Miami Heat heading there to take on the Mavericks. It’s a great inter-conference matchup, and we’ve broken down exactly why it’s so interesting with our experts’ best Heat vs. Mavericks prediction and player props.
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HEAT VS. MAVERICKS PREDICTION: Miami +4.5 (-102 at DraftKings)
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Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction for Today, 3/7 on TNT
There’s no denying that the Heat aren’t looking as hot as let’s say the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers, but let’s not forget that they were the #8 seed when they made the NBA Finals last season.
Similarly, the Mavs haven’t exactly been blowing fans away either. It’s quite remarkable how much Luka Doncic is able to fill up the stat sheet, yet the team can’t seem to win games. We’ll dive more into it with our Heat vs. Mavericks player props, but despite three straight triple-doubles, Dallas has lost all three of those games.
In other words, we have no reason to doubt that Jimmy Butler and company can keep things close at the very least tonight. These teams haven’t met this season, but Miami did win the most recent matchup outright. Until Dallas figures out their defensive woes, our best Heat vs. Mavericks prediction is Miami +4.5 (-102 at DraftKings).
Heat vs. Mavericks Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Jimmy Butler & Luka Doncic
When it comes to Heat vs. Mavericks player props, how could we not get started with Jimmy Butler? We’re not quite at playoff-Jimmy status, but with Miami needing to put in work to avoid dropping down to the Play-In Tournament seeds, it may as well be.
Regardless, he’s facing a Dallas defense that can’t stop anyone, and he’s already torn them up before. The Mavs defense wasn’t quite this bad at the end of last season, and Butler still scored 35 points. That was along with 12 assists, so we wouldn’t mind a double-double play as well, but we’ll keep things a bit safer and take Jimmy Butler over 22.5 points (-120 at DraftKings).
If you’d like another Heat vs. Mavericks player props pick, our play on the Dallas side of the matchup should also come as no surprise. Even when the Mavs are struggling as a team, Luka never fails to pad his stats. He very well may get another triple-double tonight, but again, our approach is only slightly safer.
We’re simply going to take his combination prop of points, assists and rebounds, that way, a huge 50-point night can make up for him failing to reach double-digits in the other categories. That’s just about what we saw when he last played Miami - Luka went for 42 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists.
With his recent triple-double, he became just the ninth player in NBA history with at least 70 of them, so he’s as trustworthy as it gets. We still expect Miami to have a strong night overall, but our other Heat vs. Mavericks player props pick is Luka Doncic over 53.5 points+assists+rebounds (+105 at DraftKings).
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Heat vs. Mavericks Odds & Lines via DraftKings Sportsbook for Today, March 7th, 2024
We’ve covered the lines and odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for tonight’s matchup followed by a payout breakdown for both our Heat vs. Mavericks prediction and player props:
- Point Spread: Miami Heat +4.5 (-102) vs. Dallas Mavericks -4.5 (-118)
- Money Line: Miami Heat (+160) vs. Dallas Mavericks (-192)
- Game Total (Over/Under): Over 231 (-108) vs. Under 231 (-112)
- Jimmy Butler Points: Over 22.5 (-120) vs. Under 22.5 (-110)
- Luka Doncic Points+Assists+Rebounds: Over 53.5 (+105) vs. Under 53.5 (-135)
So, a $102 bet on our Heat vs. Mavericks prediction of Miami +4.5 (-102 at DraftKings) profits $100 as long as they lose by four points or fewer or pull off the upset. As for our Heat vs. Mavericks player props, a $120 bet on Jimmy Butler profits $100 as long as he scores at least 23 points, while a $100 bet on Luka Doncic profits $105 as long as his points, assists and rebound add up to at least 54.
Heat vs. Mavericks Injury Report and Projected Starters for Today's Game on TNT
Last but not least, here are the projected starting lineups for both Miami and Dallas heading into tonight’s game:
MIA Heat:
- Terry Rozier
- Jimmy Butler
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.
- Caleb Martin
- Bam Adebayo
DAL Mavericks:
- Luka Doncic
- Kyrie Irving
- Josh Green
- PJ Washington
- Dereck Lively II
Injury-wise, Miami is still dealing with Tyler Herro and Kevin Love banged up, while Dallas looks clean across the board. Even still, we’re happy backing Jimmy Butler and company keeping things close, and no matter if you fade or follow us, be sure to grab your $1,000+ welcome offer by ☀️joining DraftKings today☀️.
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