Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Player Props, Picks & Odds: Today, 1/25
Following two postponed games due to a team tragedy, the Golden State Warriors took the court last night to begin what is now a four-game homestand. That continues tonight against the in-state rival Sacramento Kings. It’s the fourth meeting between these teams this season, and we’ve got you covered with our best Kings vs. Warriors prediction and player props.
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KINGS VS. WARRIORS PREDICTION: Over 242.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Kings vs. Warriors Predictions for Today, 1/25 on TNT
It’s no secret that the Warriors have not looked like the dynasty that they have created over the past decade, as they still sit with a sub-.500 record. However, they still have the pieces to turn things around, along with the head coach and organizational help to do so.
While we do feel that is the case, it’s still too difficult to trust them, especially on the second night of a back-to-back. What we are willing to trust is a high-scoring game. After all, fatigue usually sets in on the defensive end of the court before anything else. Similarly, the Warriors have struggled defensively for a large portion of the season.
In fact, both Golden State and Sacramento rank inside the bottom 10 in terms of points allowed per game. On the flip side, they both have dynamic scorers to capitalize on that weakness with the likes of Steph Curry and De’Aaron Fox. That’s also in part why we see Golden State with the NBA’s fourth-best record when it comes to going over the total.
Therefore, our best Kings vs. Warriors prediction is focused on over 242.5 points (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook).
Kings vs. Warriors Player Props & Free Picks Featuring Steph Curry & De’Aaron Fox
We foreshadowed where we’re going to be looking when it comes to our Kings vs. Warriors player props, and they are only slightly different approaches. Starting with Golden State, Steph Curry’s three-pointers prop is one that we generally tend to avoid purely due to inflation.
As one that many consider the greatest shooter of all time, oddsmakers know that the public loves betting on this prop. Well, this is one of those nights where the matchup calls for it. Sacramento has the second-worst opponent three-point percentage in the entire league, sandwiched between the San Antonio Spurs and Charlotte Hornets.
With that type of lackluster company, the first of our Kings vs. Warriors player props is Steph Curry over 4.5 three-pointers made (+114 at DraftKings Sportsbook). To keep a theme of both point guards and scoring, we’re also eyeing Sacramento superstar De’Aaron Fox.
He has proven himself to be one of the league’s prolific scorers, and only injuries have slowed him down. We also mentioned Golden State’s sub-par overall defense, and remember, they’re coming off a game just last night. A more well-rested Fox should thrive, much like he already has in this matchup.
In his two games against the Warriors this season, Fox scored 29 and 39 points. Although those two games were at home, we aren’t concerned about being on the road tonight. In his last two games in Golden State, he’s averaged 32 points per game. This is a great spot for him to bounce back from a rare off-night on Monday, so we’re going with De’Aaron Fox over 26.5 points (-120 at DraftKings Sportsbook) as our other Kings vs. Warriors player props pick.
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Kings vs. Warriors Odds & Lines via DraftKings Sportsbook for Today, January 25th, 2024
Using the DraftKings Sportsbook odds you see below, a $110 bet on our Kings vs. Warriors prediction profits $100 as long as there are at least 243 points scored:
Point spread:
- Sacramento Kings -2 (-108) vs. Golden State Warriors +2 (-112)
Money line:
- Sacramento Kings (-125) vs. Golden State Warriors (+105)
Total (over/under):
- Over 242.5 (-110) vs. Under 242,5 (-110)
Steph Curry three-pointers made:
- Over 4.5 (+114) vs. Under 4.5 (-145)
De’Aaron Fox points:
- Over 26.5 (-120) vs. Under 26.5 (-110)
When it comes to our Kings vs. Warriors player props, a $100 bet on Steph Curry profits $114 as long as he makes at least five three-pointers, while a $120 bet on De’Aaron Fox profits $100 as long as he scores at least 27 points.
Kings vs. Warriors Injury Report and Projected Starters for Today's Game on TNT
To officially conclude our Kings vs. Warriors prediction and player props, here are the projected starters for tonight:
SAC Kings:
- De’Aaron Fox
- Kevin Huerter
- Harrison Barnes
- Kegan Murray
- Domantas Sabonis
GS Warriors:
- Steph Curry
- Klay Thompson
- Andrew Wiggins
- Draymond Green
- Kevon Looney
As far as injuries are concerned, Golden State remains without Gary Payton II and Moses Moody, while Brandon Podziemski is being given time to get healthy with him not as needed since the return of Draymond Green. For Sacramento, they are healthy across the board, which only benefits our Kings vs. Warriors prediction of a high-scoring game.
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