Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction, Picks, Best Bets & Odds for 10/1
The Buffalo Bills have their biggest test of the young 2023-24 NFL season this Sunday, as they take on the record-setting offense of the Miami Dolphins. They're all too familiar with their AFC East rival, so we’re expecting an explosive matchup. Therefore, we’ve provided our best Dolphins vs. Bills prediction for you to utilize.
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DOLPHINS VS. BILLS PREDICTION: Over 53.5 points (-112 at PointsBet Sportsbook)
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NFL Week 4 Prediction for Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills on Sunday, 10/1
Ever since the Tom Brady era ended for the New England Patriots, it’s been the Buffalo Bills that have taken over the AFC East. That’s primarily been thanks to NFL MVP-hopeful QB Josh Allen and his size making him such an incredible dual threat that touches the ball every play.
However, it’s the Dolphins speed that is causing the opposition major issues this season. So, can Buffalo keep up with NFL Offensive Player of the Year threat WR Tyreek Hill and company? That's what our Dolphins vs. Bills prediction is here to help answer, so let’s dive into the top pick from our Dolphins vs. Bills best bets.
Dolphins vs. Bills NFL Best Bets & Picks Targeting Over 53.5 Points
The oddsmakers are listing this week’s matchup with the Bills as 2.5-point favorites - just under that key number of three - so it’s as if they’re baiting us to take Buffalo. Despite that, we’re going to focus on a different market of the Dolphins vs. Bills odds.
Although the Bills won both meetings against Miami last season, they failed to cover the spread in either. In fact, both were three-point wins, and we’d rather not have another major sweat. So, our Dolphins vs. Bills prediction is focused on the total (over/under). With the Dolphins historic pace through three weeks, oddsmakers have adjusted with a high 53.5-point total.
Even still, we’ll take the over. Both of last week’s matchups went over the total, and before the argument is made that they were set lower, they soared over. The first game went over by 16.5 points (61 points) and the second went over by 20.5 points (65 points). So, do we even need to mention that the Dolphins put up a ridiculous 70 points last weekend?
Similarly, the Bills have scored 37 and 38 points the past two weeks. All that along with WR Jaylen Waddle returning for Miami means our best Dolphins vs. Bills prediction is over 53.5 points (-112 at PointsBet Sportsbook).
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Betting Odds & Lines at PointsBet for Dolphins vs. Bills NFL Week 4 on Sunday, October 1st, 2023
Based on the PointsBet Sportsbook odds below, a $112 wager on our Dolphins vs. Bills prediction profits $100 as long as the game ends with at least 54 points scored.
Point spread:
- Miami Dolphins +2.5 (-102) vs. Buffalo Bills -2.5 (-118)
Money Line:
- Miami Dolphins (+132) vs. Buffalo Bills (-158)
Total (over/under):
- Over 53.5 (-112) vs. Under 53.5 (-108)
Bills vs. Commanders Highlights: Stats Last Week
The Bills smashed the Washington Commanders 37-3 last weekend, and here were some of that standout performers:
- QB Josh Allen: 218 passing yards, two total touchdowns
- RB James Cook: 15 carries, 98 rushing yards
- WR Stefon Diggs: eight receptions, 111 yards
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